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Premier League
Fulham logo
Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Craven Cottage
Aston Villa logo

Fulham
3 - 0
Aston Villa

Reed (36'), Mitrovic (68' pen.), Mings (83' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bailey (57'), Mings (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions
Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Premier League

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-2 Chelsea
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Fulham 2-1 Aston Villa

 While there is an element of pressure on both teams to win considering their recent dips in form, Gerrard and co will be aware that a defeat on Thursday could see them slip into the bottom three if other results were to go against them. Fulham have impressed on home soil so far this term and with Mitrovic back fit and firing, we can see the hosts coming away with maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawAston Villa
37.59% (-0.135 -0.13) 25.72% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 36.69% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.19% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (-0.199 -0.2)48.95% (0.201 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.18 -0.18)71.03% (0.181 0.18)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (-0.167 -0.17)25.45% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (-0.229 -0.23)60.28% (0.229 0.23)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)25.96% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)60.97% (0.058 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 37.59%
    Aston Villa 36.69%
    Draw 25.72%
FulhamDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 37.59%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.91% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.01% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 36.69%

How you voted: Fulham vs Aston Villa

Fulham
63.2%
Draw
18.3%
Aston Villa
18.6%
334
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2021 4.30pm
Aston Villa
3-1
Fulham
Trezeguet (78', 81'), Watkins (87')
Luiz (15')
Mitrovic (61')
Andersen (16'), Reid (74')
Sep 28, 2020 5.45pm
Fulham
0-3
Aston Villa

Reid (11'), Cairney (23'), Bryan (45+3'), Odoi (47'), Le Marchand (68'), Kamara (90+1')
Grealish (4'), Hourihane (15'), Mings (48')
Targett (11'), McGinn (59'), Mings (90+1')
> Match Report
Jan 4, 2020 3.01pm
Fulham
2-1
Aston Villa
Knockaert (54'), Arter (74')
McDonald (47'), Knockaert (88'), Hector (97')
El Ghazi (63')
Nakamba (6'), Taylor (21'), Lansbury (96')
> Match Report
May 26, 2018 5pm
Aston Villa
0-1
Fulham
> Match Report
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Fulham
2-0
Aston Villa
Sessegnon (52'), Ayite (71')
Johansen (67')

Jedinak (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Rams
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326
> Premier League Full Table


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