Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Aston Villa |
42.7% ( -0.02) | 25.37% ( -0) | 31.93% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.38% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.74% ( 0.02) | 48.26% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.59% ( 0.02) | 70.41% ( -0.02) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.47% | 22.52% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.9% ( -0) | 56.1% ( 0) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.48% ( 0.03) | 28.52% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.7% ( 0.04) | 64.29% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.7% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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