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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Craven Cottage
Brighton logo

Fulham
2 - 1
Brighton

Mitrovic (48'), Dunk (55' og.)
Robinson (68'), Reed (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mac Allister (60' pen.)
Estupinan (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Fulham
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Fulham 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton look incredibly determined and composed in the early portion of the season, while collectively, they have rarely suffered a lapse in concentration. The Seagulls' overall commitment should carry them to another victory against a Fulham side, who have played well but have also had their share of breakdowns on the back end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
37.1% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 26.34% (0.029 0.03) 36.56% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 53.08% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35% (-0.117 -0.12)51.65% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.57% (-0.101 -0.1)73.43% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)26.99% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)62.34% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)27.3% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)62.75% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 37.1%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 36.56%
    Draw 26.34%
FulhamDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.32% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.76% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 37.1%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 9.57% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 6.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 36.56%

How you voted: Fulham vs Brighton

Fulham
32.0%
Draw
16.7%
Brighton & Hove Albion
51.3%
353
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2021 7.30pm
Dec 16, 2020 8pm
Jul 20, 2019 3pm
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
Fulham
4-2
Brighton
Chambers (47'), Mitrovic (58', 74'), Vietto (79')
Michael Seri (36'), Babel (87')
Murray (3', 17')
Stephens (26'), Duffy (36'), Dunk (78')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
Brighton
2-2
Fulham
Murray (67', 84' pen.)
Stephens (45'), Propper (53'), Murray (59')
Mitrovic (62'), Schurrle (43')
Johansen (82'), Mitrovic (84'), Le Marchand (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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