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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Elland Road
Crystal Palace logo

Leeds
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Raphinha (90+3' pen.)
Struijk (42'), Firpo (47'), Dallas (72'), Roberts (87'), Forshaw (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ward (37'), Gallagher (39'), Guehi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Leeds United 1-2 Crystal Palace

This is an extremely difficult game to call, as Bielsa's Leeds have been resilient at home in recent weeks, while Palace need no lessons in scoring goals away from home. However, with Vieira able to call upon some added attacking quality from the bench, we have faith in the Eagles to return to winning ways on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
51.13%25.21%23.67%
Both teams to score 49.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.36%52.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71%74.28%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4%20.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.86%53.14%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.78%37.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99%74%
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 51.12%
    Crystal Palace 23.67%
    Draw 25.2%
Leeds UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 12.11%
2-0 @ 9.57%
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 51.12%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.67%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.58%
1-2 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 23.67%

How you voted: Leeds vs Crystal Palace

Leeds United
31.5%
Draw
20.3%
Crystal Palace
48.2%
340
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 23
Leeds
2-0
Crystal Palace
Harrison (3'), Bamford (52')

Cahill (37'), Milivojevic (76')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 8
Crystal Palace
4-1
Leeds
Dann (12'), Eze (22'), Costa (42' og.), Ayew (70')
Bamford (27')
Cooper (49'), Klich (77')
Mar 9, 2013 3pm
Crystal Palace
2-2
Leeds
Murray (27', 84')
Morison (56', 69')
Varney (55'), Warnock (58'), Bryam (85'), Tonge (89')
Jan 14, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
3Arsenal20117239182140
4Chelsea21107441261537
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Bournemouth219753225734
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham217953230230
10Brentford218494037328
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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