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Premier League | Gameweek 25
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Southampton logo

Leeds
1 - 0
Southampton

Firpo (77')
Gnonto (79'), Bamford (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Armstrong (58'), Lavia (85'), Bella-Kotchap (90+4'), Diallo (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United move out of the relegation zone in the Premier League courtesy of a 1-0 victory over Southampton at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 52.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawSouthampton
52.63% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 24.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 23.17% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)49.06% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)71.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.4% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)18.6% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.12% (-0.055 -0.05)49.88% (0.058 0.06)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)35.69% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.54% (0.027000000000001 0.03)72.46% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 52.62%
    Southampton 23.17%
    Draw 24.19%
Leeds UnitedDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 52.62%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.84% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 23.17%

How you voted: Leeds vs Southampton

Leeds United
54.9%
Draw
24.8%
Southampton
20.3%
133
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Southampton
2-2
Leeds
Aribo (72'), Walker-Peters (81')
Salisu (78')
Rodrigo (46', 60')
Harrison (43'), Kristensen (45'), Aaronson (90+3')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Southampton
1-0
Leeds
Broja (53')
Bednarek (75'), McCarthy (83')

Roberts (47'), Struijk (58'), Llorente (70')
May 18, 2021 6pm
Southampton
0-2
Leeds
Bamford (73'), Roberts (90+5')
Phillips (34'), Dallas (56'), Struijk (66')
Feb 23, 2021 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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