Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Leeds United |
32.78% ( 0.36) | 26.09% ( -0.15) | 41.13% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 53.31% ( 0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.92% ( 0.73) | 51.08% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.06% ( 0.64) | 72.94% ( -0.64) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.64% ( 0.6) | 29.36% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.66% ( 0.73) | 65.34% ( -0.73) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.46% ( 0.22) | 24.54% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.99% ( 0.31) | 59.01% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.78% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 41.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 21 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Arsenal | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 47 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
6 | Chelsea | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 40 |
7 | Bournemouth | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 40 |
8 | Aston Villa | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 27 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 23 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 16 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 16 |
20 | Southampton | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 53 | -37 | 6 |
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