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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Arsenal logo

Man City
4 - 1
Arsenal

De Bruyne (7', 54'), Stones (45+1'), Braut Haaland (90+5')
Dias (45+5'), Grealish (75'), Rodri (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Holding (86')
Partey (76')

The Match

Match Report

A scintillating Manchester City seize control of the Premier League title race with a thoroughly deserved 4-1 win over a meek Arsenal at the Etihad Stadium.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Arsenal.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Wednesday's Premier League clash with Manchester City.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Arsenal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 59.75%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 21.1% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (5.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawArsenal
59.75% (0.509 0.51) 19.15% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 21.1% (-0.448 -0.45)
Both teams to score 67.37% (-0.494 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.88% (-0.337 -0.34)28.12% (0.336 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.12% (-0.41699999999999 -0.42)48.88% (0.417 0.42)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.6% (0.018999999999991 0.02)9.4% (-0.0189 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.37% (0.045000000000002 0.05)31.63% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (-0.56200000000001 -0.56)25.63% (0.561 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (-0.77 -0.77)60.53% (0.769 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 59.75%
    Arsenal 21.1%
    Draw 19.15%
Manchester CityDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.23% (0.047 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.74% (0.146 0.15)
1-0 @ 5.7% (0.118 0.12)
3-0 @ 5.31% (0.119 0.12)
3-2 @ 4.92% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.27% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.14% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.02% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.48% (0.036 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.32% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 59.75%
1-1 @ 7.76% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-0 @ 2.41% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.23% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 19.15%
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-1 @ 3.28% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 21.1%

How you voted: Man City vs Arsenal

Manchester City
61.1%
Draw
7.8%
Arsenal
31.1%
563
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2023 7.30pm
gameweek 12
Arsenal
1-3
Man City
Saka (42' pen.)
Tomiyasu (48'), Nketiah (64')
De Bruyne (24'), Grealish (72'), Braut Haaland (82')
Walker (34'), Ederson (36'), Silva (45+2'), Grealish (62')
Jan 27, 2023 8pm
Fourth Round
Man City
1-0
Arsenal
Ake (64')
Gundogan (90+3')

Holding (42'), Zinchenko (90+2')
Jan 1, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 21
Arsenal
1-2
Man City
Saka (31')
Xhaka (55'), Magalhaes (57'), Saka (63'), Holding (68')
Magalhaes (59')
Mahrez (57' pen.), Rodri (90+3')
Rodri (90+4'), Silva (90+5')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 3
Man City
5-0
Arsenal
Gundogan (7'), Torres (12', 84'), Jesus (43'), Rodri (53')
Rodri (67')

Soares (24'), Kolasinac (28')
Xhaka (35')
Feb 21, 2021 4.30pm
gameweek 25
Arsenal
0-1
Man City

Xhaka (53'), Bellerin (87')
Sterling (2')
Silva (51'), Cancelo (64')
Build-up
Argentina's Sergio Aguero celebrates on a bus with the World Cup trophy on December 19, 2022
Sergio Aguero: 'I may celebrate in full kit if Man City beat Arsenal to Premier League title'
Sergio Aguero admits that he will consider recreating his full-kit celebration from Argentina's World Cup triumph in Qatar if his former side Manchester City overtake Arsenal to win the Premier League title.
Apr 26, 15:12
Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta shakes hands with Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola before the match on January 27, 2023
Arsenal bidding to end worst-ever league losing run against Manchester City
Arsenal will aim to end their worst-ever losing run against a single opponent in their league history when they travel to Manchester City on Wednesday night.
Apr 26, 09:39
Manchester City's Erling Braut Haaland celebrates after the match on April 11, 2023
Erling Braut Haaland out to break Premier League 38-game season scoring record in Arsenal clash
Erling Braut Haaland will be looking to break an all-time Premier League scoring record when Manchester City lock horns with Arsenal in a top-of-the-table clash at the Etihad Stadium on Wednesday.
Apr 25, 14:56
Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on April 11, 2023
Pep Guardiola: 'Arsenal clash really important but not decisive'
Pep Guardiola believes Manchester City's Premier League clash against leaders Arsenal is "not decisive" in the title race, but acknowledges that the Etihad Stadium showdown is "really important".
Apr 25, 14:31
William Saliba warms up for Arsenal in November 2022
Mikel Arteta confirms William Saliba will miss Manchester City clash
Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta confirms that William Saliba will miss Wednesday's pivotal Premier League clash with Manchester City, while Granit Xhaka is still a doubt.
Apr 25, 10:11
Martin Odegaard celebrates scoring for Arsenal on March 1, 2023
Combined XI: Manchester City vs. Arsenal
Ahead of Wednesday's Premier League top-of-the-table clash between Manchester City and Arsenal, Sports Mole picks a combined XI from both squads.
Apr 24, 16:32
William Saliba in action for Arsenal in September 2022
How Arsenal could line up against Manchester City
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Wednesday's Premier League clash with Manchester City.
Apr 24, 11:42
Manchester City's Nathan Ake is substituted off after sustaining an injury on April 19, 2023
How Manchester City could line up against Arsenal
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's Premier League clash with Arsenal.
Apr 24, 11:34
Arsenal's Rob Holding in action with Manchester City's Erling Braut Haaland on January 27, 2023
Manchester City vs. Arsenal: Three key battles to look out for in title showdown
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at three key battles to watch out for in Wednesday's Premier League title showdown between Manchester City and Arsenal.
Apr 24, 11:00
Arsenal's William Saliba goes down injured on March 16, 2023
Arsenal 'fear William Saliba could miss rest of season'
Arsenal's William Saliba is reportedly out of Wednesday's Premier League top-of-the-table clash with Manchester City amid fears that he could miss the rest of the season.
Apr 24, 10:43
Manchester City's Nathan Ake is substituted off after sustaining an injury on April 19, 2023
Manchester City team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Arsenal
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Arsenal.
Apr 23, 10:47
William Saliba warms up for Arsenal in November 2022
Arsenal team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Manchester City
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Premier League clash with Manchester City.
Apr 23, 08:32
Arsenal's William Saliba goes down injured on March 16, 2023
Arsenal's William Saliba 'unlikely to be fit for Manchester City clash'
Arsenal centre-back William Saliba is unlikely to recover from a back injury in time for their crunch clash with Manchester City on April 26, according to a report.
Apr 17, 13:02
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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