Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 55.34%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.77%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.