Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.12%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.