Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Newcastle United has a probability of 27.26% and a draw has a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.37%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.5%).
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
51.85% ( -0.33) | 20.89% ( 0.27) | 27.26% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 68.45% ( -0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.17% ( -1.3) | 29.83% ( 1.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.01% ( -1.59) | 50.99% ( 1.58) |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.01% ( -0.54) | 11.99% ( 0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.58% ( -1.15) | 37.42% ( 1.15) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.77% ( -0.65) | 22.22% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.35% ( -0.99) | 55.65% ( 0.98) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.08) 4-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.89% | 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.34% Total : 27.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 54 | 13 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | Chelsea | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 51 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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