Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.