Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Newcastle3 - 2Southampton
Reaction
Newcastle United's Fabian Schar to miss rest of season?
Newcastle United defender Fabian Schar is unlikely to play in the Premier League again this season after tearing a ligament in his knee against Southampton.
4 years ago
Joe Willock delighted to make telling contribution for Newcastle United
The 21-year-old Arsenal loanee enjoyed an eventful debut for the battling Magpies.
4 years ago
Steve Bruce jokes about Newcastle job being a "health hazard" after Saints win
The Saints could not find a way back into the game despite a late onslaught.
4 years ago
The Match
Match Report
The Magpies had Jeff Hendrick sent off and lost Fabian Schar to injury.
Team News
Loan signing Joe Willock could make his Magpies debut against Southampton, who could call on Oriol Romeu, Jannik Vestergaard and Takumi Minamino.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Southampton |
| 37.33% | 25.46% | 37.2% |
| Both teams to score 56.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.23% | 47.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.04% | 69.96% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% | 25.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.27% | 59.73% |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.87% | 25.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.17% | 59.83% |
| Score Analysis |
Newcastle United 37.33%
Southampton 37.2%
Draw 25.46%
| Newcastle United | Draw | Southampton |
| 1-0 @ 8.71% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 0.96% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.77% Total : 37.33% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.69% 1-2 @ 8.31% 0-2 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 0.96% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.2% |
How you voted: Newcastle vs Southampton
Newcastle United
34.5%Draw
33.6%Southampton
31.9%113
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 29
Southampton
0-1
Newcastle
Dec 8, 2019 2pm
Apr 20, 2019 5.30pm
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Form Guide
