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Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 26, 2021 at 6pm UK
St James' Park
Leeds logo

Newcastle
1 - 2
Leeds

Almiron (57')
Schar (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raphinha (17'), Harrison (61')
Alioski (54'), Rodrigo (87'), Harrison (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

The Magpies have gone 11 games in all competitions without a win.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeeds United
17.58%21.45%60.98%
Both teams to score 52.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.33%44.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.97%67.03%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.04%38.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.32%75.68%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.83%14.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.15%41.85%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 17.58%
    Leeds United 60.97%
    Draw 21.44%
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 5.2%
2-1 @ 4.79%
2-0 @ 2.45%
3-1 @ 1.51%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 17.58%
1-1 @ 10.16%
0-0 @ 5.52%
2-2 @ 4.68%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.44%
0-1 @ 10.78%
0-2 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-3 @ 6.87%
1-3 @ 6.47%
0-4 @ 3.36%
1-4 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 3.05%
2-4 @ 1.49%
0-5 @ 1.31%
1-5 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 60.97%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Leeds

Newcastle United
19.3%
Draw
28.1%
Leeds United
52.6%
342
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 13
Leeds
5-2
Newcastle
Bamford (35'), Rodrigo (61'), Dallas (77'), Alioski (85'), Harrison (88')
Klich (37'), Phillips (48'), Raphinha (67')
Hendrick (26'), Clark (65')
Hayden (50')
Apr 14, 2017 7.45pm
Newcastle
1-1
Leeds
Lascelles (67')
Shelvey (93'), Colback (95')
Wood (95')
Jansson (52'), Bartley (54'), Phillips (75')
Nov 20, 2016 1.15pm
Sep 25, 2013 7.45pm
Round Three
Newcastle
2-0
Leeds
Cisse (31'), Gouffran (66')

Mowatt (84')
Jan 7, 2004 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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