Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.