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Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
City Ground
Crystal Palace logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Gibbs-White (54')
Yates (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mitchell (30'), Ward (64'), Guehi (73'), Schlupp (88')

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest beat Crystal Palace 1-0 to climb off the bottom of the Premier League table and move to within one point of safety ahead of the winter break.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawCrystal Palace
41.62% (0.218 0.22) 26.77% (-0.061 -0.06) 31.6% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 50.75% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.81% (0.191 0.19)54.19% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4% (0.159 0.16)75.59% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.32% (0.20099999999999 0.2)25.68% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.4% (0.274 0.27)60.6% (-0.271 -0.27)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)31.72% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)68.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 41.62%
    Crystal Palace 31.6%
    Draw 26.77%
Nottingham ForestDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.53% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.6%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Crystal Palace

Nottingham Forest
30.1%
Draw
24.1%
Crystal Palace
45.8%
216
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2012 3pm
Crystal Palace
0-3
Nott'm Forest

Zaha (74'), McCarthy (75')
Majewski (53', 72', 82')
Dec 10, 2011 3pm
Nott'm Forest
0-1
Crystal Palace

Cunningham (55'), Greening (55'), Moussi (71'), Blackstock (90')
Murray (56')
Jedinak (37'), Zaha (55'), Murray (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Arsenal105321711618
5Aston Villa95311611518
6Chelsea95221911817
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
8Bournemouth104331312115
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132


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