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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Liverpool logo

Southampton
4 - 4
Liverpool

Ward-Prowse (19'), Deen Sulemana (28', 48'), Armstrong (64')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Jota (10', 73'), Firmino (14'), Gakpo (72')
Tsimikas (25'), Elliott (60')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton and Liverpool both come from two goals down in a madcap 4-4 draw on the final day of the 2022-23 Premier League season.

Team News

Caoimhin Kelleher, Roberto Firmino and James Milner all start for Liverpool against Southampton at St Mary's in their Premier League finale.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League final day clash between Southampton and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Liverpool could line up for their final game of the 2022-23 Premier League season against rock-bottom Southampton at St Mary's.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League fixture against Southampton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 3-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 64.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 15.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLiverpool
15.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 20.12% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 64.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 52.69% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.8% (0.057000000000002 0.06)42.2% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.39% (0.058 0.06)64.6% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.17% (0.049999999999997 0.05)39.82% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.51% (0.045000000000002 0.05)76.49% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.56% (0.016999999999996 0.02)12.44% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.64% (0.033999999999999 0.03)38.36% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 15.67%
    Liverpool 64.21%
    Draw 20.12%
SouthamptonDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 4.56% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 15.67%
1-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.12%
0-2 @ 10.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-3 @ 7.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 6.88% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.9%
1-4 @ 3.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 64.21%

How you voted: Southampton vs Liverpool

Southampton
10.2%
Draw
8.0%
Liverpool
81.8%
88
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
gameweek 16
Liverpool
3-1
Southampton
Firmino (6'), Nunez (21', 42')
Adams (9')
Caleta-Car (5')
May 17, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 37
Southampton
1-2
Liverpool
Redmond (13')
Tella (69'), Stephens (74')
Minamino (27'), Matip (67')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
gameweek 13
Liverpool
4-0
Southampton
Jota (2', 32'), Alcantara (37'), Van Dijk (52')

Bednarek (11')
May 8, 2021 8.15pm
gameweek 35
Liverpool
2-0
Southampton
Mane (31'), Alcantara (90')

Redmond (61')
Jan 4, 2021 8pm
gameweek 17
Southampton
1-0
Liverpool
Ings (2')
Bertrand (90+3')

Alcantara (3'), Robertson (15'), Shaqiri (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
3Arsenal20117239182140
4Chelsea21107441261537
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Bournemouth219753225734
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham217953230230
10Brentford218494037328
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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