Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.17%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.42%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.