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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Rio Ave

AVS
1 - 0
Rio Ave

Lopes (72')
Grau (15'), Assuncao (47'), Lopes (73'), Ochoa (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Panzo (26'), Patrick (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-1 AVS
Saturday, August 31 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, September 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: AVS 1-1 Rio Ave

 Excluding this season's expected losses to Sporting and Porto, Rio Ave have typically found ways to avoid losing on their travels despite the failure to win on the road in 2023-24. Having played out six consecutive draws to end the previous campaign, another stalemate is likely against an AVS side that have been hard to play against on their turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AVS in this match.

Result
AVSDrawRio Ave
49.04% (0.229 0.23) 26.41% (-0.052 -0.05) 24.55% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 47.29% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.56% (0.07 0.07)56.44% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.56% (0.058999999999997 0.06)77.45% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93% (0.136 0.14)23.07% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (0.19600000000001 0.2)56.91% (-0.19 -0.19)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.48% (-0.115 -0.12)38.52% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.73% (-0.111 -0.11)75.27% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    AVS 49.04%
    Rio Ave 24.55%
    Draw 26.41%
AVSDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 13.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 49.04%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 8.48% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 24.55%

How you voted: AVS vs Rio Ave

AVS
38.5%
Draw
46.2%
Rio Ave
15.4%
13
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon16131244103440
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica1612223792838
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1610061816230
5Braga1684428181028
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes166642218424
7Casa Pia166551819-123
8MoreirenseMoreirense166372124-321
9FamalicaoFamalicao164751919019
10Rio AveRio Ave165471727-1019
11Gil Vicente164661825-718
12Estrela Amadora164481425-1116
13Estoril PraiaEstoril163671426-1215
14AVS162861223-1114
15SC FarenseFarense163491123-1213
16Nacional163491123-1213
17BoavistaBoavista162681023-1312
18AroucaArouca1633101027-1712
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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