Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.55%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 9.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
76.55% (![]() | 14.43% (![]() | 9.01% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.53% (![]() | 32.47% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.89% (![]() | 54.11% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.02% (![]() | 6.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.46% (![]() | 25.54% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.79% (![]() | 44.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.7% (![]() | 80.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
2-0 @ 10.93% (![]() 3-0 @ 9.71% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.92% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.21% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.92% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 3.57% Total : 76.55% | 1-1 @ 6.7% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.08% ( ![]() Other @ 1.01% Total : 14.43% | 1-2 @ 2.73% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.03% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 1.75% Total : 9.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |