Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.55%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 9.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
76.55% ( -2.27) | 14.43% ( 0.78) | 9.01% ( 1.49) |
Both teams to score 51.9% ( 4.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.53% ( 1.8) | 32.47% ( -1.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.89% ( 2.06) | 54.11% ( -2.06) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.02% ( -0.06) | 6.97% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.46% ( -0.15) | 25.54% ( 0.15) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.79% ( 4.79) | 44.21% ( -4.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.7% ( 3.66) | 80.3% ( -3.66) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
2-0 @ 10.93% ( -1.16) 3-0 @ 9.71% ( -1.06) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.84) 3-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.73) 4-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.4) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.49) 5-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.32) 6-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.18) 6-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.57% Total : 76.55% | 1-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.57) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.31) Other @ 1.01% Total : 14.43% | 1-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.26) Other @ 1.75% Total : 9.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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