Guimaraes1 - 0Boavista
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, April 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
for
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 3-1 Boavista
While Guimaraes have suffered a drop-off in form of late, they will fancy themselves against Boavista given their solid home record in this fixture. That said, we are backing Pacheco's men to come away with all three points and continue their push for European football. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
58.59% ( -0.33) | 21.81% ( 0.15) | 19.59% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.87% ( -0.39) | 43.12% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.47% ( -0.39) | 65.52% ( 0.39) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.59% ( -0.23) | 14.4% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.68% ( -0.45) | 42.31% ( 0.45) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.18% ( -0.03) | 35.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.4% ( -0.03) | 72.59% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.87% Total : 58.59% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.8% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 19.59% |
