Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Estoril Praia |
61.42% ( 0.14) | 22.33% ( 0.02) | 16.24% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 46.92% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.42% ( -0.36) | 50.58% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.5% ( -0.32) | 72.5% ( 0.32) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84% ( -0.08) | 16% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.69% ( -0.14) | 45.31% ( 0.14) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.86% ( -0.43) | 44.14% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.76% ( -0.36) | 80.24% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 61.42% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.52% Total : 16.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |