Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Estoril Praia |
61.42% (![]() | 22.33% (![]() | 16.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.92% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.42% (![]() | 50.58% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.5% (![]() | 72.5% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84% (![]() | 16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.69% (![]() | 45.31% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.86% (![]() | 44.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.76% (![]() | 80.24% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 12.94% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.86% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.7% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.93% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.97% Total : 61.42% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 5.77% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 1.52% Total : 16.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |