Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.52%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 9.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.68%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Estoril Praia |
73.52% | 16.92% | 9.56% |
Both teams to score 44.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.07% | 42.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.67% | 65.33% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.83% | 10.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.58% | 33.42% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.72% | 50.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.15% | 84.85% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Estoril Praia |
2-0 @ 13.35% 1-0 @ 11.68% 3-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.19% 3-1 @ 7% 4-0 @ 5.82% 4-1 @ 4% 5-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.41% 5-1 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.38% 6-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.01% Total : 73.49% | 1-1 @ 8.04% 0-0 @ 5.11% 2-2 @ 3.16% Other @ 0.61% Total : 16.92% | 0-1 @ 3.52% 1-2 @ 2.76% 0-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.08% Total : 9.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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