Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.