Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | SC Farense |
46.8% ( 0.07) | 24.46% ( 0.03) | 28.74% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 56.7% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.24% ( -0.2) | 45.76% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.92% ( -0.19) | 68.08% ( 0.2) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.35% ( -0.05) | 19.65% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.37% ( -0.08) | 51.63% ( 0.09) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.57% ( -0.18) | 29.43% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.57% ( -0.22) | 65.43% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.8% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.34% Total : 28.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
3 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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