Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
17.92% ( -0.98) | 22.16% ( -0.18) | 59.92% ( 1.16) |
Both teams to score 50.75% ( -1.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.81% ( -0.72) | 47.19% ( 0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.58% ( -0.67) | 69.42% ( 0.67) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.95% ( -1.54) | 40.05% ( 1.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.3% ( -1.44) | 76.7% ( 1.43) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.66% ( 0.14) | 15.34% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.9% ( 0.26) | 44.1% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.05% Total : 17.92% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.15% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 10.79% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.75% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 59.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |