Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Boavista win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Braga |
28.26% ( 0.07) | 23.93% | 47.81% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 58.15% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.31% ( 0.04) | 43.69% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.92% ( 0.04) | 66.08% ( -0.04) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% ( 0.07) | 28.71% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.46% ( 0.08) | 64.54% ( -0.08) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.58% ( -0.01) | 18.42% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.42% ( -0.01) | 49.58% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Braga |
2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.26% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 47.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |