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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Maritimo

Gil Vicente
2 - 0
Maritimo

Tiba (23'), Araujo (82')
Araujo (30'), Fernandes (58'), Marin (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Riascos (62'), Val (64'), Vidigal (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Last Game: Porto 1-2 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 26 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Maritimo

All competitions
Last Game: Maritimo 3-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 2-0 Maritimo

 Off the back of ending their four-game losing streak, Maritimo will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to beat the drop. However, they take on a Gil Vicente side who are unbeaten in seven of their nine matches this year and have put together a fine run of form on home turf. We predict a cagey affair on Sunday with the Gilistas picking up all three points and sending the visitors crashing back to earth. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Gil Vicente.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawMaritimo
54.12% (0.586 0.59) 24.65% (-0.108 -0.11) 21.23% (-0.476 -0.48)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-0.316 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.12% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)52.88% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5% (-0.078999999999997 -0.08)74.49% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.51% (0.194 0.19)19.48% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.65% (0.319 0.32)51.35% (-0.317 -0.32)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.27% (-0.53899999999999 -0.54)39.73% (0.54 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.6% (-0.499 -0.5)76.4% (0.501 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 54.11%
    Maritimo 21.23%
    Draw 24.65%
Gil VicenteDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 12.65% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 10.35% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 54.11%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.39% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 21.23%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Maritimo

Gil Vicente
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Maritimo
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 6pm
Maritimo
1-2
Gil Vicente
Andrade (27')
Winck (73')
Navarro (48', 85')
Mar 20, 2022 3.30pm
Gil Vicente
1-1
Maritimo
Lino (45+5' pen.)
Talocha (19'), Lino (44'), Aburjania (67')
Joel (39')
Costa (14'), Costa (51'), Pelagio (90+4')
Oct 31, 2021 3.30pm
Maritimo
1-2
Gil Vicente
Xadas (45')
Winck (50')
Fujimoto (28'), Cunha (67')
Navarro (32'), Carlos (54'), Carvalho (82'), Aburjania (90+1')
May 5, 2021 7pm
Maritimo
0-1
Gil Vicente

Pelagio (27'), Winck (43'), Guitane (55'), Rene (68'), Andrade (90+5'), Jean (90+5'), Costa (90+5')
Lino (34')
Baraye (83'), Carvalho (86'), Denis (88')
Jan 17, 2021 8pm
Gil Vicente
0-1
Maritimo

Afonso (45+5')
Africo (87')
Morais (54'), Jean (64'), Bambock (73'), Macedo (75'), Hermes (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto17131340112940
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Nacional174491323-1016
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
15AVS172961324-1115
16AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
17SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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