Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
32.68% ( 0) | 26.81% ( 0.01) | 40.5% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.98% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.95% ( -0.06) | 54.05% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.52% ( -0.05) | 75.48% ( 0.05) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.09% ( -0.03) | 30.91% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.8% ( -0.03) | 67.2% ( 0.03) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.78% ( -0.04) | 26.21% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.69% ( -0.05) | 61.31% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.68% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
14 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Nacional | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |