Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 19.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Nacional |
55.86% ( -0.5) | 24.56% ( 0.13) | 19.57% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 46.45% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.59% ( -0.04) | 54.41% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.22% ( -0.03) | 75.78% ( 0.03) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.61% ( -0.21) | 19.39% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.8% ( -0.34) | 51.2% ( 0.34) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.62% ( 0.39) | 42.37% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.24% ( 0.33) | 78.76% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 13.47% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.85% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.7% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |