Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Famalicao |
35.7% (![]() | 27.27% (![]() | 37.04% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.06% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.56% (![]() | 55.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.37% (![]() | 76.63% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.34% (![]() | 29.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.3% (![]() | 65.7% (![]() |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.16% (![]() | 28.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.3% (![]() | 64.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 10.39% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.32% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.69% | 1-1 @ 12.92% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.55% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.89% ( ![]() Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.63% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.04% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |