Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes2 - 1Famalicao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 0-4 Guimaraes
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Famalicao
While both these sides have made very impressive starts to the league campaign, Vitoria's soild home record is difficult to ignore, and we feel they will be able to hand Fama their first loss of the new season in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Famalicao |
57.17% ( -0.08) | 24.62% ( -0.01) | 18.21% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.19% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
