Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
38.05% | 29.19% | 32.76% |
Both teams to score 44.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.35% | 62.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.79% | 82.21% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.19% | 31.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.76% | 68.24% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.67% | 35.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.91% | 72.09% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 12.87% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.87% Total : 38.05% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.18% | 0-1 @ 11.69% 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.1% Total : 32.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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