Gil Vicente0 - 4Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
for
Saturday, April 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Gil Vicente 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Gil Vicente are enduring a poor run of form, and the visit of the league leaders is not an ideal moment to try and turn those fortunes around. Sporting Lisbon are coming into this clash after back-to-back meetings with Benfica, so we feel that Amorim's side will be more than ready to earn three points on Friday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.96%) and 0-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
18.66% ( 0.05) | 21.4% ( 0.03) | 59.93% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.66% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.31% ( -0.06) | 42.69% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.9% ( -0.06) | 65.09% ( 0.06) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.44% ( 0.02) | 36.56% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.65% ( 0.02) | 73.34% ( -0.02) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.15% ( -0.04) | 13.84% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.78% ( -0.09) | 41.22% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.7% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 18.66% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.4% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.96% 0-2 @ 9.89% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 59.93% |
