Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon3 - 1Gil Vicente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boavista 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Gil Vicente
Off the back of their surprise loss against Boavista, Sporting Lisbon will head into Friday's clash looking to make an immediate positive reaction. Amorim's side have enjoyed the better of this fixture, winning 13 of the last 16 encounters between the sides, and we are backing them to extend their dominance over the Gilistas. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 12.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Gil Vicente |
68.37% ( 2.08) | 18.74% ( -0.62) | 12.89% ( -1.45) |
| Both teams to score 49.96% ( -1.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
