Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.45%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
14.3% ( 0.07) | 20.11% ( 0.04) | 65.58% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 49.32% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.04% ( -0.01) | 44.96% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.69% ( -0.01) | 67.31% ( 0.01) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.61% ( 0.09) | 43.39% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.38% ( 0.08) | 79.62% ( -0.08) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.12% ( -0.03) | 12.88% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.72% ( -0.07) | 39.28% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 14.3% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 20.11% | 0-2 @ 11.73% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 8.02% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.7% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 65.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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