Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 8, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
Maritimo1 - 0Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Maritimo
Friday, December 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, December 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Thursday, December 29 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Thursday, December 29 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Maritimo 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
The away side come into this clash in great form, while Maritimo's home record this season leaves a lot to be desired. We think the hosts will struggle to contain Sporting Lisbon here, and the Leoes will have too much firepower for them. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.45%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
14.3% ( 0.07) | 20.11% ( 0.04) | 65.58% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 49.32% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.04% ( -0.01) | 44.96% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.69% ( -0.01) | 67.31% ( 0.01) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.61% ( 0.09) | 43.39% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.38% ( 0.08) | 79.62% ( -0.08) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.12% ( -0.03) | 12.88% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.72% ( -0.07) | 39.28% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Maritimo 14.3%
Sporting Lisbon 65.57%
Draw 20.11%
| Maritimo | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.45% Total : 14.3% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 20.11% | 0-2 @ 11.73% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 8.02% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 6.7% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 65.57% |
How you voted: Maritimo vs Sporting Lisbon
Maritimo
10.8%Draw
8.1%Sporting Lisbon
81.1%37
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2022 8.45pm
Feb 5, 2021 7pm
Form Guide
