Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13

Nov 13, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Maritimo

Silva (70')
Johnston (56')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Costa (78'), Brito (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Vizela
Wednesday, November 9 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Maritimo

All competitions

Last Game: Maritimo 0-0 Famalicao
Sunday, November 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Maritimo

While Maritimo will be looking to continue in their new-form form, they face a Vitoria de Guimaraes side whose home ground has been a fortress over the past few months. We predict that Moreno's side will extend their dominance over the visitors and claim all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 18.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Maritimo
57.46% ( 0.06)	24.07% ( -0.04)	18.47% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 46.08% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.04% (

0.13)

53.95% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.6% (

0.11)

75.4% (

-0.11)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.38% (

0.07)

18.61% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.09% (

0.13)

49.9% (

-0.13)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.62% (

0.05)

43.37% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.39% (

0.04)

79.6% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.45%

Maritimo 18.47%

Draw 24.06%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 13.57% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 57.45%	1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.06%	0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.74% 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 18.47%