MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 19:40:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 8, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Casa Pia

Moreirense
1 - 4
Casa Pia

Aias (14')
Camacho (40'), Antonisse (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Soma (18'), Cardoso (26', 56'), Nunes (39')
Cardoso (35'), Segovia (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last Game: Vizela 0-0 Moreirense
Saturday, December 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Casa Pia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Braga
Saturday, December 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Moreirense 1-0 Casa Pia

 Moreirense have got into the habit of keeping teams out and picking up points regularly, especially against those below them, and while it may be gritty, the hosts should get the three points here. Seven clean sheets in 10 games suggests Casa Pia may find it difficult to break Moreirense down, and their meagre 14 goals so far this season does not provide much more encouragement. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 24.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
MoreirenseDrawCasa Pia
50.92% (-0.246 -0.25) 24.97% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 24.11% (0.223 0.22)
Both teams to score 51.03% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (0.090999999999994 0.09)51.32% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.85% (0.081 0.08)73.15% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)20.16% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.56% (-0.104 -0.1)52.44% (0.107 0.11)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.91% (0.252 0.25)36.09% (-0.247 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.13% (0.255 0.25)72.87% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 50.92%
    Casa Pia 24.11%
    Draw 24.97%
MoreirenseDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 11.65% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.33% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 50.92%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.78% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 24.11%

How you voted: Moreirense vs Casa Pia

Moreirense
64.7%
Draw
21.6%
Casa Pia
13.7%
51
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!