Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vizela in this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Vizela |
32.23% ( 0.03) | 27.83% ( 0.01) | 39.93% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 47.78% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.96% ( -0.01) | 58.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.28% ( -0.01) | 78.72% ( 0.01) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.73% ( 0.02) | 33.26% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.12% ( 0.02) | 69.88% ( -0.02) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.59% ( -0.03) | 28.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.84% ( -0.03) | 64.16% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.23% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 11.89% 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 39.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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