Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional0 - 0Casa Pia
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Nacional and Casa Pia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 6-1 Mirandela
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Estoril 4-0 Casa Pia
Friday, November 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, November 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%).
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Casa Pia |
41.11% ( 0.04) | 26.3% ( -0.05) | 32.58% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.54% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.96% ( 0.18) | 52.03% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.23% ( 0.16) | 73.77% ( -0.16) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% ( 0.1) | 24.98% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.37% ( 0.14) | 59.62% ( -0.14) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.03% ( 0.09) | 29.97% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.92% ( 0.11) | 66.08% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Nacional 41.11%
Casa Pia 32.58%
Draw 26.3%
| Nacional | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.11% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.58% |
Head to Head
Form Guide
