MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 00:43:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Benfica

Porto
5 - 0
Benfica

Galeno (20', 44'), Wendell (55'), Pepe (75'), Loader (90')
Conceicao (12'), Gonzalez (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Morato (32'), Otamendi (52')
Otamendi (61')

The Match

Match Report

Galeno scores twice as Porto hammer bitter rivals Benfica 5-0 at the Estadio do Dragao, recording their joint-biggest ever victory in O Classico.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-2 Porto
Thursday, February 29 at 4pm in Taca de Portugal

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Benfica
Thursday, February 29 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawBenfica
44.46% (-0.815 -0.81) 24.46% (0.694 0.69) 31.07% (0.128 0.13)
Both teams to score 58.08% (-2.374 -2.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43% (-3.145 -3.15)44.57% (3.153 3.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (-3.116 -3.12)66.94% (3.124 3.12)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (-1.617 -1.62)20.17% (1.623 1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.54% (-2.657 -2.66)52.46% (2.665 2.67)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (-1.468 -1.47)27.25% (1.474 1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (-1.953 -1.95)62.68% (1.959 1.96)
Score Analysis
    Porto 44.46%
    Benfica 31.07%
    Draw 24.46%
PortoDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.744 0.74)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.258 0.26)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.279 -0.28)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.325 -0.33)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.219 -0.22)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.203 -0.2)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 44.46%
1-1 @ 11.44% (0.52 0.52)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.283 -0.28)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.716 0.72)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.15% (0.664 0.66)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.251 0.25)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.238 -0.24)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 31.07%

How you voted: Porto vs Benfica

Porto
44.4%
Draw
26.4%
Benfica
29.2%
72
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 7
Benfica
1-0
Porto
Di Maria (68')
Neves (59'), di Maria (69'), Jurasek (90+5'), Otamendi (90+5')

Carmo (34'), Taremi (35'), Conceicao (45+45'), Wendell (77'), Pedro da Silva Figueiredo Freitas (82'), Conceicao (90+5')
Cardoso (19')
> Preview
Aug 9, 2023 8.45pm
Final
Benfica
2-0
Porto
Di Maria (61'), Musa (68')
Ristic (15'), Mario (16'), Kokcu (27'), Bah (43'), Neves (49'), Chiquinho (84'), Vlachodimos (87')

Loader (29'), Pepe (33'), Pepe (45+1'), Eustaquio (51'), Sanusi (55')
Pepe (90'), Conceicao (90+8')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Benfica
1-2
Porto
Costa (10' og.)
Uribe (45'), Taremi (54')
> Match Report
Oct 21, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
0-1
Benfica
Silva (72')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Benfica
0-1
Porto

Dias (16'), Ramos (24'), Nunez (53'), Lazaro (62'), Almeida (71'), Otamendi (71'), Mario (82'), Weigl (84'), Yaremchuk (90'), Gilberto (90+6')
Sanusi (90+4')
Grujic (30'), Pepe (40'), Taremi (79'), Costa (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon18142251143744
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto18131441142740
4Braga18104431191234
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1810172019131
6Casa Pia187652222027
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes186842824426
8MoreirenseMoreirense186572225-323
9Gil Vicente185762227-522
10Estoril PraiaEstoril185672130-921
11FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
12Rio AveRio Ave185581831-1320
13Nacional185491624-819
14Estrela Amadora1844101630-1416
15AroucaArouca1844101530-1516
16SC FarenseFarense183691123-1215
17AVS182971427-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1826101329-1612
> Primeira Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!