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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Benfica

Porto
5 - 0
Benfica

Galeno (20', 44'), Wendell (55'), Pepe (75'), Loader (90')
Conceicao (12'), Gonzalez (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Morato (32'), Otamendi (52')
Otamendi (61')

The Match

Match Report

Galeno scores twice as Porto hammer bitter rivals Benfica 5-0 at the Estadio do Dragao, recording their joint-biggest ever victory in O Classico.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-2 Porto
Thursday, February 29 at 4pm in Taca de Portugal

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Benfica
Thursday, February 29 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawBenfica
44.46% (-0.815 -0.81) 24.46% (0.694 0.69) 31.07% (0.128 0.13)
Both teams to score 58.08% (-2.374 -2.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43% (-3.145 -3.15)44.57% (3.153 3.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (-3.116 -3.12)66.94% (3.124 3.12)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (-1.617 -1.62)20.17% (1.623 1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.54% (-2.657 -2.66)52.46% (2.665 2.67)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (-1.468 -1.47)27.25% (1.474 1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (-1.953 -1.95)62.68% (1.959 1.96)
Score Analysis
    Porto 44.46%
    Benfica 31.07%
    Draw 24.46%
PortoDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.744 0.74)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.258 0.26)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.279 -0.28)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.325 -0.33)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.219 -0.22)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.203 -0.2)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 44.46%
1-1 @ 11.44% (0.52 0.52)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.283 -0.28)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.716 0.72)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.15% (0.664 0.66)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.251 0.25)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.238 -0.24)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 31.07%

How you voted: Porto vs Benfica

Porto
44.4%
Draw
26.4%
Benfica
29.2%
72
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 7
Benfica
1-0
Porto
Di Maria (68')
Neves (59'), di Maria (69'), Jurasek (90+5'), Otamendi (90+5')

Carmo (34'), Taremi (35'), Conceicao (45+45'), Wendell (77'), Pedro da Silva Figueiredo Freitas (82'), Conceicao (90+5')
Cardoso (19')
> Preview
Aug 9, 2023 8.45pm
Final
Benfica
2-0
Porto
Di Maria (61'), Musa (68')
Ristic (15'), Mario (16'), Kokcu (27'), Bah (43'), Neves (49'), Chiquinho (84'), Vlachodimos (87')

Loader (29'), Pepe (33'), Pepe (45+1'), Eustaquio (51'), Sanusi (55')
Pepe (90'), Conceicao (90+8')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Benfica
1-2
Porto
Costa (10' og.)
Uribe (45'), Taremi (54')
> Match Report
Oct 21, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
0-1
Benfica
Silva (72')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Benfica
0-1
Porto

Dias (16'), Ramos (24'), Nunez (53'), Lazaro (62'), Almeida (71'), Otamendi (71'), Mario (82'), Weigl (84'), Yaremchuk (90'), Gilberto (90+6')
Sanusi (90+4')
Grujic (30'), Pepe (40'), Taremi (79'), Costa (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
9MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
10Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
11Gil Vicente195772228-622
12FamalicaoFamalicao194962024-421
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15AVS193971527-1218
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1926111332-1912
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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