MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 02:15:34| >> :120:4609:4609:
Benfica
Portuguese Super Cup | Final
Aug 9, 2023 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Aveiro
Porto

Benfica
2 - 0
Porto

di Maria (61'), Musa (68')
Ristic (15'), Mario (16'), Kokcu (27'), Bah (43'), Neves (49'), Chiquinho (84'), Vlachodimos (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Loader (29'), Pepe (33'), Pepe (45+1'), Eustaquio (51'), Sanusi (55')
Pepe (90'), Conceicao (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Portuguese Super Cup clash between Benfica and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-1 Benfica
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Porto

All competitions
Last Game: Porto 0-1 Wolves
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Benfica 2-1 Porto

 While Porto have been the dominant side in this encounter over the years, Benfica have added a few world-class players to their ranks over the summer break, which could be a crucial factor this season and potentially in this match as well. With two attacking sides on display and with it still being early in the campaign, we expect lots of chances to be created in this match by both sides but fancy the league champions to edge it by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for Porto had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawPorto
51.8% (-3.19 -3.19) 22.92% (0.942 0.94) 25.27% (2.244 2.24)
Both teams to score 58.91% (-0.635 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.52% (-2.039 -2.04)41.47% (2.036 2.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.13% (-2.095 -2.1)63.87% (2.092 2.09)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (-1.788 -1.79)16.09% (1.785 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.51% (-3.366 -3.37)45.49% (3.363 3.36)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21% (0.721 0.72)29.79% (-0.724 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (0.864 0.86)65.86% (-0.867 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 51.8%
    Porto 25.27%
    Draw 22.92%
BenficaDrawPorto
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-0 @ 8.76% (0.269 0.27)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.253 -0.25)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.45 -0.45)
3-0 @ 4.87% (-0.478 -0.48)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.197 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.392 -0.39)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.376 -0.38)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.201 -0.2)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 51.8%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.53 0.53)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.428 0.43)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 6.42% (0.441 0.44)
0-1 @ 5.81% (0.623 0.62)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.439 0.44)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.226 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.067 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.202 0.2)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 25.27%

How you voted: Benfica vs Porto

Benfica
70.8%
Draw
14.6%
Porto
14.6%
96
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Benfica
1-2
Porto
Costa (10' og.)
Uribe (45'), Taremi (54')
> Match Report
Oct 21, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
0-1
Benfica
Silva (72')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Benfica
0-1
Porto

Dias (16'), Ramos (24'), Nunez (53'), Lazaro (62'), Almeida (71'), Otamendi (71'), Mario (82'), Weigl (84'), Yaremchuk (90'), Gilberto (90+6')
Sanusi (90+4')
Grujic (30'), Pepe (40'), Taremi (79'), Costa (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 30, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 16
Porto
3-1
Benfica
Vieira (34'), Pepe (37'), Taremi (69')
Cardoso (30'), Pepe (51'), Martinez (90+1')
Yaremchuk (46')
Almeida (8'), Vertonghen (25'), Goncalves (90+3'), Gilberto (90+5')
Almeida (49')
> Preview
May 6, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Benfica
1-1
Porto
Everton (23')
Weigl (31'), Verissimo (58'), Silva (60'), Leite (71'), Gabriel (81'), Pizzi (81'), Seferovic (83'), Goncalves (89')
Uribe (75')
Oliveira (15'), Pepe (64'), Mbemba (81')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!