Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Casa Pia |
46.18% ( 0.16) | 26.36% ( -0.01) | 27.46% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 49.81% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.65% ( -0.06) | 54.34% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.27% ( -0.05) | 75.73% ( 0.05) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.5% ( 0.05) | 23.49% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.47% ( 0.07) | 57.52% ( -0.08) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.11% ( -0.16) | 34.89% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.37% ( -0.17) | 71.63% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 6 | 33 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 8 | 22 | 30 |
3 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 7 | 23 | 28 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
5 | Braga | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 13 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 10 |
14 | AVS | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 10 |
15 | Nacional | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 9 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 8 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 8 |
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