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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Futebol Clube de Vizela
Casa Pia

Vizela
3 - 1
Casa Pia

Zolotic (37' og.), Nunes (81' og.), Etim (87')
Guzzo (60'), Rashid (74'), Etim (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Martins (25')
Fernandes (35'), Godwin (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 0-1 Vizela
Saturday, March 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-0 Maritimo
Sunday, March 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vizela 1-1 Casa Pia

Vizela and Casa Pia head into the weekend in similar form and we anticipate a thrilling contest between the two evenly-matched sides. Os Gansos have struggled for results on the road but we predict that they will hold the Vizelenses to a share of the spoils and leave the Estadio do FC Vizela with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.

Result
VizelaDrawCasa Pia
46.18% (0.164 0.16) 26.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 27.46% (-0.159 -0.16)
Both teams to score 49.81% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.65% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)54.34% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.27% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)75.73% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (0.051000000000002 0.05)23.49% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (0.074999999999996 0.07)57.52% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)34.89% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37% (-0.166 -0.17)71.63% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 46.18%
    Casa Pia 27.46%
    Draw 26.35%
VizelaDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 11.87% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.37% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 46.18%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.63% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 27.46%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1211013963333
2Porto1210023082230
3Benfica119113072328
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara128041512324
5Braga127232011923
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes126331611521
7FamalicaoFamalicao124531311217
8MoreirenseMoreirense125251717017
9Rio AveRio Ave124351322-915
10Casa Pia123451016-613
11Estoril PraiaEstoril123451017-713
12BoavistaBoavista12246715-810
13Gil Vicente122461423-910
14AVS12246920-1110
15Nacional11236615-99
16Estrela Amadora122371021-119
17SC FarenseFarense12228618-128
18AroucaArouca12228621-158


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