MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 02:06:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Santa Clara

Porto
2 - 1
Santa Clara

Uribe (34' pen.), Loader (80')
Marcano (51'), Franco (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tagawa (90+2')
Costinha (17'), Jordao (20'), Nogueira (32'), Allano (33'), Sagna (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-2 Porto
Friday, April 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Santa Clara

All competitions
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-1 Vizela
Friday, April 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 Santa Clara

 Porto will be licking their lips as they take on a floundering Santa Clara side who have endured a gruesome campaign. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, and their contrasting form, we are backing Porto to pick up from where they left off against Benfica and claim a comfortable win in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 86.66%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 3.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.74%) and 4-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.58%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (1.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawSanta Clara
86.66% (-0.212 -0.21) 9.68% (0.142 0.14) 3.65% (0.0671 0.07)
Both teams to score 36.64% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.08% (-0.37100000000001 -0.37)32.92% (0.36799999999999 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.37% (-0.428 -0.43)54.63% (0.425 0.43)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.85% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)5.14% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.58% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31)20.41% (0.309 0.31)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.63% (0.045999999999999 0.05)61.36% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.66% (0.023 0.02)91.33% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Porto 86.64%
    Santa Clara 3.65%
    Draw 9.68%
PortoDrawSanta Clara
2-0 @ 13.89% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 13.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 10.19% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.119 0.12)
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 6.05% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 4.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
6-0 @ 2.99% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.96% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
6-1 @ 1.46% (-0.03 -0.03)
7-0 @ 1.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 86.64%
1-1 @ 4.58% (0.065 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.16% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 1.66% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 9.68%
0-1 @ 1.54% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 1.12% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1%
Total : 3.65%

How you voted: Porto vs Santa Clara

Porto
95.8%
Draw
0.0%
Santa Clara
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3.30pm
Santa Clara
1-1
Porto
Boateng (83')
Boateng (13')
Cardoso (3')
Apr 4, 2022 8.15pm
Porto
3-0
Santa Clara
Vieira (38', 41'), Sanusi (84')
Nov 7, 2021 5pm
Santa Clara
0-3
Porto

Allano (40'), Mansur (60')
Allano (63')
Oliveira (42'), Diaz (46', 77')
Sanusi (45+1'), Evanilson (90+3')
Oct 26, 2021 7pm
Santa Clara
3-1
Porto
Chindris (17'), Ricardinho (65'), Nene (90+6')
Sagna (12'), Fernandes (51'), Nene (57'), Mohebi (69'), Patric (90'), Allano (90+4'), Afonso (90+4')
Taremi (83')
Vieira (72'), Otavio (90+4')
Apr 3, 2021 8.30pm
Porto
2-1
Santa Clara
Oliveira (49' pen.), Martinez (90+5')
Manafa (53'), Leite (54'), Martinez (90+4')
Carlos (56' pen.)
Pereira (47'), Carlos (73'), Nene (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon16131244103440
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica1612223792838
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1610061816230
5Braga1684428181028
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes166642218424
7Casa Pia166551819-123
8MoreirenseMoreirense166372124-321
9FamalicaoFamalicao164751919019
10Rio AveRio Ave165471727-1019
11Gil Vicente164661825-718
12Estrela Amadora164481425-1116
13Estoril PraiaEstoril163671426-1215
14AVS162861223-1114
15SC FarenseFarense163491123-1213
16Nacional163491123-1213
17BoavistaBoavista162681023-1312
18AroucaArouca1633101027-1712
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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