Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Casa Pia |
40.94% ( 0.25) | 27.12% ( 0.01) | 31.95% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 49.81% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.57% ( -0.12) | 55.43% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.38% ( -0.1) | 76.62% ( 0.09) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.38% ( 0.08) | 26.62% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.15% ( 0.1) | 61.86% ( -0.1) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.89% ( -0.24) | 32.11% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.41% ( -0.27) | 68.59% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.93% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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