Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
17.91% ( 1.34) | 22.19% ( 0.57) | 59.91% ( -1.9) |
Both teams to score 50.63% ( 0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.67% ( -0.17) | 47.34% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.45% ( -0.16) | 69.56% ( 0.17) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.85% ( 1.53) | 40.16% ( -1.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.21% ( 1.37) | 76.79% ( -1.36) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.61% ( -0.67) | 15.4% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.81% ( -1.27) | 44.2% ( 1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.91% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 10.82% ( -0.44) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.75% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 6.16% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.29) 1-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.14) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.31% Total : 59.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
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