Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 28, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Rio Ave1 - 0Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boavista 3-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, April 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Vizela
Sunday, April 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Rio Ave 0-1 Arouca
Rio Ave's form has dipped recently, and they have little to play for at this stage of the season, while Arouca are still battling for the final Europa Conference League qualification spot. As such, we expect the visitors to come away with a narrow victory, in what is likely to be a low-scoring game, given that Evangelista's side have conceded just two goals in their last eight matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Arouca |
42.97% ( 0.01) | 27.25% | 29.78% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.56% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
