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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 28, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Arouca

Rio Ave
1 - 0
Arouca

Vitor (69')
Patrick (13'), Graca (28'), Boateng (72'), Luiz (90+9')
Pantalon (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Esgaio (45+4'), Sylla (45+1'), Evangelista (45+1'), Opoku (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last Game: Boavista 3-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, April 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Vizela
Sunday, April 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 0-1 Arouca

 Rio Ave's form has dipped recently, and they have little to play for at this stage of the season, while Arouca are still battling for the final Europa Conference League qualification spot. As such, we expect the visitors to come away with a narrow victory, in what is likely to be a low-scoring game, given that Evangelista's side have conceded just two goals in their last eight matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawArouca
42.97% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 27.25%29.78% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.56% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.38% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)56.62% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.41% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)77.59% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61.15% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)34.3% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)71% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 42.97%
    Arouca 29.78%
    Draw 27.24%
Rio AveDrawArouca
1-0 @ 12.02%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 42.97%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 9.58%
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 29.78%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Arouca

Rio Ave
35.7%
Draw
14.3%
Arouca
50.0%
28
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 6pm
gameweek 13
Arouca
0-1
Rio Ave

Soro (45')
Yakubu (59' pen.)
Aug 1, 2021 5pm
Second Round
Arouca
0-1
Rio Ave

Othavio Basso (37')
Othavio Basso (42')
Aderlan (38')
Gomes (23'), Gomes (40'), Manuel (50'), Ukra (90+5')
Apr 21, 2017 8.30pm
Rio Ave
3-0
Arouca
Jubal (42' og.), Krovinovic (45'), Tarantini (57')
Guedes (38'), Dias (70'), Marcelo (79'), Krovinovic (83')

Velasquez (38'), Bastos (68'), Tomane (82')
Dec 12, 2016 8pm
Arouca
0-2
Rio Ave

Bracali (90')
Bernardes (75')
Nelsinho (89' og.), Ronan (94')
Apr 16, 2016 4.15pm
Arouca
0-0
Rio Ave

Adilson (22'), Gege (52'), Bernardes (66')

Roderick (13'), dos Santos Ferreira (50'), Novais (57'), Tarantini (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
9MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
10Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
11Gil Vicente195772228-622
12FamalicaoFamalicao194962024-421
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15AVS193971527-1218
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1926111332-1912
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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