Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 5, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
We said: SC Farense 1-1 Boavista
Both Farense and Boavista are winless in recent form, hovering above relegation. Farense's home advantage and historical wins against Boavista could give them the edge. However, Boavista's slight form improvement under a new manager should not be ignored. Expect a close match, possibly a draw.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 38.34% . A win for Boavista had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.66%) . The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
Result SC Farense Draw Boavista 38.34% ( -0.02) 26.54% ( -0) 35.12% ( 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.32% ( 0.01)
47.44% ( 0.01) 52.56% ( -0)
25.78% ( 0) 74.22% ( -0)
73.29% ( -0.01) 26.71% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.03% ( -0.01) 61.97% ( 0.02)
71.39% ( 0.02) 28.61% ( -0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.59% ( 0.02) 64.41% ( -0.02)
SC Farense 38.33%
Boavista 35.12%
Draw 26.54%
SC Farense Draw Boavista 1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.33% 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.64% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.12%
How you voted: Farense vs Boavista
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rhs 2.0
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