Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
34.77% ( 0.46) | 24.87% ( -0) | 40.36% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 57.96% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.71% ( 0.11) | 45.29% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.37% ( 0.11) | 67.63% ( -0.11) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.66% ( 0.32) | 25.34% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.87% ( 0.44) | 60.13% ( -0.44) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.63% ( -0.17) | 22.37% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.13% ( -0.26) | 55.87% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-1 @ 8% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 6 | 33 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 8 | 22 | 30 |
3 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 7 | 23 | 28 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
5 | Braga | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 13 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 10 |
14 | AVS | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 10 |
15 | Nacional | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 9 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 8 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 8 |
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