Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.