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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Feb 1, 2023 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Braga

Sporting Lisbon
5 - 0
Braga

Morita (9', 46'), Edwards (61'), Reis (86'), Goncalves (90+3' pen.)
Coates (77'), Coates (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Niakate (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-2 Braga
Saturday, January 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Braga

With both sides looking to strengthen their positions in the upper echelons of the table and their stakes for a place in the Champions League, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Estadio Jose Alvalade. Sporting Lisbon have won each of their last six home games in the league, but we are backing Jorge's side to end this run and leave with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Braga had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBraga
47.51% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 24.94% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 27.55% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.25% (0.152 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.42% (0.162 0.16)48.58% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.29% (0.145 0.15)70.7% (-0.14500000000001 -0.15)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (0.024000000000001 0.02)20.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (0.038000000000004 0.04)52.97% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23% (0.17399999999999 0.17)31.77% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.8% (0.194 0.19)68.2% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 47.5%
    Braga 27.55%
    Draw 24.93%
Sporting LisbonDrawBraga
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.18% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.5%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.55%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Braga

Sporting Lisbon
53.8%
Draw
23.1%
Braga
23.1%
65
Head to Head
Dec 19, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Inacio (4'), Paulinho (7'), Goncalves (20' pen.), Trincao (41'), Edwards (45+4' pen.)

Silva (3')
Aug 7, 2022 6pm
Braga
3-3
Sporting Lisbon
Banza (14'), Niakate (45+1'), Ruiz (88')
Niakate (22'), Elmusrati (24')
Goncalves (9'), Santos (18'), Edwards (83')
Nunes (68'), Goncalves (74')
Jan 22, 2022 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Braga
Goncalves (24')
Sarabia (45'), Coates (51'), Nunes (90+1')
Galeno (52' pen.), Gorby (90+7')
Castro (57'), Ruiz (90+2'), Hornicek (90+7'), Magalhaes (90+9')
Aug 14, 2021 8.30pm
Braga
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Ruiz (90+2')
Silva (22'), Fransergio (37'), Galeno (69')
Cabral (40'), Goncalves (50')
Coates (57'), Reis (70'), Adan (90+4')
Reis (80')
Jul 31, 2021 8.45pm
Final
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Braga
Cabral (29'), Goncalves (43')
Palhinha (17'), Goncalves (44'), Nunes (49')
Fransergio (20')
Fransergio (45+2'), Tormena (62'), Sequeira (87'), Novais (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
14AVS172961324-1115
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
17Nacional163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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