Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 11, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga3 - 2Guimaraes
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Round of 16 clash between Braga and Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-4 Braga
Thursday, January 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Thursday, January 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, January 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
56.24% ( 0.59) | 23.97% ( -0.11) | 19.78% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 48.45% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.09% ( -0.18) | 51.91% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.34% ( -0.16) | 73.66% ( 0.15) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.7% ( 0.15) | 18.3% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.62% ( 0.26) | 49.38% ( -0.26) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.3% ( -0.63) | 40.69% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.72% ( -0.57) | 77.28% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
Braga 56.23%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 19.78%
Draw 23.97%
| Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 56.23% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.97% | 0-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.23% Total : 19.78% |
How you voted: Braga vs Guimaraes
Braga
72.7%Draw
18.2%Vitoria de Guimaraes
9.1%11
Form Guide
